![]() ![]() “Month before midterms, abortion in focus as GOP backs Herschel Walker,” says the WaPo in a piece by Amy Wang and Azi Paybarah. On the one hand, the Georgia Senate race - which has dominated political news since last Monday night, when the Daily Beast reported that in 2009, Republican HERSCHEL WALKER paid for his then-girlfriend’s abortion (reporting that Walker has denied and POLITICO has not independently verified) - suggests abortion is more central to the midterms than ever. So is the Dobbs effect fading as the economic storm clouds gather? “The job market is still strong, but the long-expected slowdown has begun,” notes the NYT this morning. “Fed’s Inflation Fight Has Some Economists Fearing an Unnecessarily Deep Downturn,” reads a gloomy headline in the WSJ. “Confidence slumps around the globe as cost of living crisis bites,” said the FT over the weekend. Now, gas prices are rising and, despite a good jobs report on Friday, the news is filled with gloomy headlines about the economy. What clouds the picture is that the much-discussed improvement for Democrats since the Dobbs decision also coincided with a 99-day drop in gas prices. “Early on, the RNC understood that the Dobbs decision could shift the electorate and it became the focus of a national poll.” “While a vast majority of voters trust the GOP to fix the economy, a majority have yet to blame Biden and Democrats.” Two points made in a mid-September polling memo from the RNC made it clear that top GOP strategists realized the Dem comeback was real: But for now, they’re letting Democrats distance themselves from Biden - and, at least momentarily, defy historical trends.” “Voters still might start to blame Democrats for the economy and Biden’s policy disappointments, allowing the GOP to retake the lead before November. But, instead, two strong political forces - voters’ discontent with Biden and their frustration with the GOP on abortion - are pushing against each other. ![]() But the political see-saw in these final 29 days seems most sensitive to how much weight voters are giving to abortion rights and rising prices.Īt the Washington Post, data analyst David Byler has a useful dive into recent polling to explain how President JOE BIDEN’s approval rating is highly sensitive to concerns about the economy, especially inflation - but that Democratic candidates have been able to partially inoculate themselves from his troubles by focusing on issues, especially abortion rights.īyler writes: “If Biden’s net approval - the difference between his approval rating and his disapproval rating - were the only factor in the midterm elections, the Republicans would win the House by a healthy margin. Yes, the GOP is increasingly playing up the issue of crime. Yes, Democrats are talking a lot about health care and warning about the return of Trumpism (and Trump). ![]() INFLATION - Though it’s a tad too simplistic, if you had to boil down the midterm fight between Democrats and Republicans to a single headline, that might be it. But the issue may be losing steam in some places. The onslaught brought back into focus the grim reality of war after months of easing tensions in the capital.”īREAKING THIS MORNING - The Nobel Prize in Economics was awarded to BEN BERNANKE, DOUGLAS DIAMOND and PHILIP DYBVIG “for research on banks and financial crises.” In a statement, the Nobel committee said that “he laureates’ insights have improved our ability to avoid both serious crises and expensive bailouts.”Ībortion is still driving headlines in a number of races across the country. RAPHAEL WARNOCK and HERSCHEL WALKER.īREAKING OVERNIGHT - “Russia blasts Kyiv, other Ukrainian cities in deadly strikes,” by AP’s Adam Schreck and Hanna Arhirova: “Russia unleashed a lethal barrage of strikes against multiple Ukrainian cities Monday, smashing civilian targets including downtown Kyiv, where at least six people were killed amid burnt-out cars and shattered buildings. … Friday: Only scheduled debate between Georgia Sen. inflation numbers (consumer price index) released. ![]() 6 committee holds its first hearing since July. inflation numbers (producer price index) released. … Tuesday: Four weeks until Election Day. VP KAMALA HARRIS heads to Manhattan for “Late Night with Seth Meyers.” First and only statewide debate between Ohio’s JD VANCE and TIM RYAN. THE WEEK - Today: Columbus Day/Indigenous Peoples Day. ![]()
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